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by Staff Writers Geneva (AFP) Nov 21, 2011
The amount of global warming-causing greenhouse gases in the atmosphere rose to a new high in 2010, and the rate of increase has accelerated, the UN weather agency said on Monday. Levels of carbon dioxide -- a greenhouse gas and major contributor to climate change -- rose by 2.3 parts per million between 2009 and 2010, higher than the average for the past decade of 2.0 parts per million, a new report by the World Meteorological Organisation found. "The atmospheric burden of greenhouse gases due to human activities has yet again reached record levels since pre-industrial time," said WMO Secretary-General Michel Jarraud. Greenhouse gases trap radiation within the earths atmosphere, causing it to warm. Scientists attributed the rise in carbon dioxide, which contributes about 64 percent to climate warming, to fossil fuel burning, deforestation and changes in land-use. Methane, produced by cattle-rearing and landfills, is the second most important greenhouse gas after carbon dioxide followed by nitrous oxide. The WMO's annual Greenhouse Gas Bulletin said methane levels had risen after a period of relative stabilisation from 1999 to 2006, possibly due to the thawing of the Northern permafrost and increased emissions from tropical wetlands. Nitrous oxide, emitted into the atmosphere from natural and man-made sources, including biomass burning and fertilizer use, was 323.2 parts per billion in 2010 -- 20 percent higher than in the pre-industrial era, defined as the period before 1750. "Its impact on climate, over a 100 year period, is 298 times greater than equal emissions of carbon dioxide," said the report. "It also plays an important role in the destruction of the stratospheric ozone layer which protects us from the harmful ultraviolet rays of the sun." "Even if we managed to halt our greenhouse gas emissions today -- and this is far from the case -- they would continue to linger in the atmosphere for decades to come and so continue to affect the delicate balance of our living planet and our climate," said Jarraud. "Now more than ever before, we need to understand the complex, and sometimes unexpected, interactions between greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, Earths biosphere and oceans." The seventh Greenhouse Gas Bulletin comes ahead of a new round of UN climate talks in South Africa next Monday, testing global resolve to tackle what scientists warn is a time bomb with an ever-shorter fuse. Analysts say the UN process is still traumatised by the near-collapse of the 2009 Copenhagen Summit and, in Durban, faces a bustup over the Kyoto Protocol, the only agreement setting legal curbs on greenhouse gases.
Key issues at Durban UN climate talks KYOTO PROTOCOL The only international treaty to set down legally-binding curbs on carbon emissions is hanging by a thread. More and more advanced economies say they will not renew their pledges after the first round of commitments expires at the end of 2012 because the world's biggest polluters remain outside these constraints. That leaves the European Union (EU) in Durban as the only bloc willing to renew its vows -- provided the top two emitters, China and the United States, endorse a "roadmap" to a comprehensive climate pact by 2015. Without a second commitment period, Kyoto would still exist as a treaty but it would be operationally gutted. Its collapse would send a devastating signal about the climate process ahead of the 20th anniversary of the Rio Summit where the forum was born. But some experts say the treaty's labyrinthine rulebook and 1990s-era distinctions between between rich and poor countries should be ditched. Kyoto could be cannibalised and its useful parts incorporated into a new approach, they argue. CLIMATE FINANCE At the 2009 Copenhagen Summit, developed nations committed to creating a Green Climate Fund that will disburse, by 2020, at least 100 billion dollars per year to help poorer nations fight and cope with climate change. The Durban meeting will seek to resolve problems on the Fund's design. Developing nations want more money for adapting to climate change rather than keeping emissions down, and favour the creation of a UN-controlled fund to distribute the money. Rich nations, though, prioritise emissions mitigation, and prefer using existing channels such as the World Bank. Another issue is whether to endow the Fund with a specific source of revenue, such as a tax on aviation and shipping fuels, a global financial transaction fee and auctioning of carbon emissions allowances. Most of 30 billion dollars in Copenhagen's "fast-start financing" for 2010-2012 has been pledged and a good portion of it disbursed. Still unclear is how climate financing will build up to the 100 billion-per-year-target, starting in 2013. The 2008 global financial crisis and the looming threat of further recession is making this task hard. FORESTS Forests are "sinks" that soak up nearly a third of carbon emissions each year. Loss of forests is also a powerful addition to the greenhouse-gas problem. The UN-backed scheme known as REDD+ -- Reduced Emissions from Deforestation and Degradation 'Plus' -- allots credit to tropical countries in Latin America, Asia and Africa that slow rates of forest destruction. It also provides a mechanism for rich countries to offset their own carbon-reduction commitments by investing in that process. Environmental groups say a portion of the Green Climate Fund should be earmarked for REDD+, which will require 15 to 40 billion dollars to implement, according to different estimates. They also call on the UN body to set a 2020 target for reversing the net loss of forest cover. Neither goal will be easily achieved. EMISSIONS COMPLIANCE A question since the Copenhagen Summit is how to make voluntary national cuts in greenhouse gas emissions measurable, reportable and verifiable -- "MRV", in UN climate lingo. Progress has been stymied by a reluctance by developing countries to be subject to the same scrutiny as developed ones under the UNFCCC's two-tier system of accountability. Rich countries say that emerging giants will account for the lion's share of emissions in the future, which means the "MRVs" have to be credible. The United States, in particular, is insisting on common standards in oversight.
Climate Science News - Modeling, Mitigation Adaptation
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