. Earth Science News .
EPIDEMICS
Lockdowns, immunity, 'test, test, test': searching for the right virus strategy
By Paul RICARD, Kelly MACNAMARA
Paris (AFP) April 23, 2020

Asia virus latest: Sri Lanka soldiers isolated; China to give WHO more money
Singapore (AFP) April 23, 2020 - Here are the latest developments from Asia related to the novel coronavirus pandemic:

- Sri Lanka sailors isolated -

Sri Lanka isolated a navy camp near the capital Colombo after 30 sailors tested positive for the coronavirus on Thursday.

The military said the entire facility in the Colombo suburb of Welisara was placed under quarantine. The number of confirmed cases nationwide jumped to 368 after the sailors tested positive.

The island nation has been under a curfew since March 20.

- Vietnam loosens curbs -

Vietnam eased some social distancing measures, with experts pointing to a decisive response involving mass quarantines and expansive contact tracing as the reason for its apparent success in containing the coronavirus.

The southeast Asian nation has recorded just 268 cases and zero deaths, according to official tallies.

- China to give WHO more money -

China announced it will give another $30 million to the World Health Organization to help in the global fight against the pandemic, after Washington said it would freeze funding.

The US, which is the WHO's biggest contributor, accused the organisation last week of "mismanaging" the COVID-19 crisis, drawing ire from Beijing.

- No more Olympic delays: Tokyo chief -

The Tokyo 2020 Olympics cannot be delayed beyond the year-long postponement already forced by the coronavirus outbreak, the organising committee's president warned.

Yoshiro Mori said there is "absolutely no" chance of postponing the Games beyond their rescheduled July 23, 2021 opening, according to Kyodo News agency.

- China reports no new deaths -

For the eighth straight day, China's National Health Commission reported no new deaths from COVID-19 in its daily figures.

It said China confirmed just 10 new cases, six of them imported.

The country where the virus emerged last year has brought its domestic outbreak under control, but is now trying to stop infections coming in from overseas.

- Australia wants 'weapons inspector' powers for WHO -

Australia's prime minister called for the World Health Organization to be given powers similar to UN-backed weapons inspectors, allowing their experts to enter virus-stricken countries to help prevent future pandemics.

WHO member countries should be required to allow independent health inspectors to investigate new outbreaks within their borders as a condition of membership, Scott Morrison said.

- Singapore, HK jail quarantine dodgers -

Singapore has handed down its first prison sentence for a virus-related offence, jailing a man for six weeks after he breached quarantine orders to go out for some food.

Alan Tham Xiang Sheng was ordered to stay home for 14 days after returning to Singapore from overseas in March, as part of measures aimed at halting the spread of the virus.

But he went out to a food court to enjoy a pork rib soup dish, according to local media, and also visited several other places.

Hong Kong has also jailed a number of people for breaching the city's strict quarantine guidelines.

On Monday, a court sentenced an Indian businessman to four weeks behind bars, the first foreigner to receive a jail sentence, after he was caught breaking quarantine orders.

- Joy! Tokyo deploys Marie Kondo in virus fight -

Worried about getting bored while stuck at home during holidays amid the coronavirus pandemic? The Tokyo governor has a solution: Decluttering with Marie Kondo.

Governor Yuriko Koike told reporters the metropolitan government will share fun videos -- including those of the home improvement guru -- to keep Tokyo residents entertained during the forthcoming "Golden Week" holidays.

While some countries have tried to contain the new coronavirus with widespread testing, others have imposed lockdowns to save lives in the face of concerns over the economic hardships they will involve.

Still others are letting the virus circulate almost unimpeded, hoping to avoid health system collapse while perhaps edging towards "herd immunity" -- despite fears that this might be out of reach.

Here are some of the different approaches to tackling the pandemic:

- Lockdowns: the price of protection -

Following in China's footsteps, many countries have imposed strict confinement measures on their populations to try to slow the spread of the virus.

Facing rapidly mushrooming caseloads Italy, Spain, France and Britain were among the European countries to conclude that locking down citizens was the only option.

The restrictions are not for the most part aimed at ending the epidemic, but to prevent the hospital system from being overwhelmed by a tidal wave of patients needing acute respiratory support.

The aim is to reduce infections by limiting contact between individuals -- to "flatten the curve" of infections.

And in this respect the lockdown measures have largely begun to succeed. Most experts agree that they have saved many thousands of lives.

But they have come with a steep cost, ushering in a global economic recession that is predicted to be savage.

There are also grave concerns about severe societal and health side effects, including growing inequality, domestic violence, mental health problems and worsening medical problems other than COVID-19.

Experts have warned these consequences could themselves lead to deaths.

In an article this month in the European Journal of Cancer, three specialists said critical prevention and treatment work was being sidelined in the push to tackle COVID-19.

"Denying that this downside exists will mean that we will be adding the lost lives of cancer patients to the COVID-19 death count toll," they argued.

Public health measures can also become victims of their own success.

If restrictions sharply slow the virus, for example, people could become complacent and less likely to accept further curtailments to their freedom of movement.

Piecemeal lifting of lockdowns will need to be accompanied by widespread testing, contact tracing for those infected, and isolating those with COVID-19 to avoid igniting another fast-moving infection surge.

- South Korean surveillance -

After discovering its first cases, South Korea launched a widespread system to identify those infected, quarantine positive cases, trace all the people they had come into contact with and test them as well.

In doing so, the country has become the model for the World Health Organisation's exhortation to: "Test, Test, Test".

It is this strategy, also implemented by other authorities in parts of Asia, that many European countries emerging from containment aspire to implement.

But for this to work you need a huge "quantity of tests, quantity of masks, digital tools and enormous numbers of personnel" to help trace potential patients, said French epidemiologist Dominique Costagliola.

Furthermore, the strategy is not a long-term guarantee, particularly if it has blind spots.

Singapore, which had also used the test and trace strategy to get its epidemic under control, has seen an explosion of cases since it started testing migrant workers, many of whom live in tightly-packed dormitories.

The city-state on Wednesday announced that it would keep tightened restrictions in place until June after a surge in cases, mostly among migrants, took the country's caseload above 9,000.

- Herd immunity: a gamble? -

While its neighbours have hunkered down under strict lockdowns, Sweden has continued to socialise -- albeit in small groups.

The government has not imposed a lockdown on its population, rather it has appealed to people to act responsibly and apply social distancing.

The only restrictions imposed by the Scandinavian country of over 10 million people are the closure of high schools and colleges, bans on gatherings of more than 50 people and on visits to retirement homes.

Swedish epidemiologist Johan Giesecke has described the virus as a "tsunami", but brushed aside concerns over its severity, estimating that half of the population in the country may already have had COVID-19.

He said that while "herd immunity" -- the proportion of the population that has had the virus and developed antibodies -- was not an aim of the policy, it was a by-product.

"The strategy is to protect the old and the frail," he said in an interview with the website UnHerd.

But he added that most of the deaths from the virus were among those who were close to death anyway, saying it was effectively "taking months from their lives".

Predicting that the mortality rate would end up being close to that of "a severe influenza season", about 0.1 percent, he said he expected the difference in tolls between Sweden and countries that locked down to be "small" in a year's time.

But this approach has drawn criticism from both at home and abroad, with rising fears over the country's surging caseload.

Bo Lundback, professor of epidemiology at the University of Gothenburg, was one of a group of researchers who published an open letter to the government urging it to reconsider its approach.

He told AFP this month that the country was "poorly or even not at all prepared".

One particular concern has been the policies to shield the vulnerable. In early April, authorities said despite measures to protect the elderly, some 40 percent of deaths in the Stockholm region -- the epicentre of country's epidemic -- could be traced to retirement and care homes.

Another point of contention is whether collective immunity will be achievable.

In France, which imposed its lockdown in mid-March, a study by the Institut Pasteur has estimated that only 6 percent of the population will have been infected by May 11 -- the date slated for its restrictions to be eased.

This is far from the level needed to prevent the epidemic from reigniting, about 60 to 70 percent, according to many experts.

French virology professor Bruno Lina has cautioned that restrictions should be lifted with care to avoid overwhelming hospitals.

But he said periods when the lockdown is loosened could still allow the infection to spread among people aged up to 50 years old, whose rates for very serious infection are "relatively low".

"If they are immunised, they will end up protecting the whole population," said Lina.

But that is a big "if" -- currently it is not at all clear what level of immunity people who have had the virus develop, or how long they keep it.

As the most obvious European outlier, Sweden is a test case for a looser approach.

- Mixed messages -

The response in many countries could end up becoming a mixture of lockdowns, testing and tracing efforts and tentative openings that gradually widen the pool of potential immunity.

According to recent study in Science, it will probably be necessary to alternate between periods of confinement and reopening until 2022.

The United States may prove to have the best -- and the worst -- of all the approaches.

Currently the world's hardest-hit nation, it has seen a mixture of responses, because of its decentralised system that has seen some states impose strict confinements on their populations while others have resisted.

Economic powerhouse New York, the epicentre of US infections, has imposed a strict lockdown as the virus tears through the population.

But with 26 million Americans made unemployed by the crisis over the last five week, several states have seen pockets of protest against stay-at-home orders.

Eventually, the solution may be "release a little, tighten, release, tighten", Jean-Francois Delfraissy, who advises the French government on its response, said earlier this month.

These periods of opening might allow a greater proportion of the population to catch the virus and perhaps gain immunity, while preventing the health services from becoming overwhelmed -- and buying time perhaps for scientists to find treatments or even a vaccine


Related Links
Epidemics on Earth - Bird Flu, HIV/AIDS, Ebola


Thanks for being here;
We need your help. The Space Media Network continues to grow but revenues have never been harder to maintain.

With the rise of Ad Blockers, and Facebook - our traditional revenue sources via quality network advertising continues to decline. And unlike so many other news sites, we don't have a paywall - with those annoying usernames and passwords.

Our news coverage takes time and effort to publish 365 days a year.

If you find our news sites informative and useful then please consider becoming a regular supporter or for now make a one off contribution.
SpaceMediaNetwork Contributor
$5 Billed Once


credit card or paypal
SpaceMediaNetwork Monthly Supporter
$5 Billed Monthly


paypal only


EPIDEMICS
Social distancing app uses space to save lives
Paris (ESA) Apr 21, 2020
A free app that helps people observe social distancing to slow the spread of coronavirus is about to launch. Devised by Lanterne, a UK start-up company supported by ESA, it uses satellite data and artificial intelligence technologies to identify where people are congregating anywhere in the world. People who need to leave home to go to the supermarket or the pharmacy can check before they depart whether the shops are becoming crowded. If there are too many people, they can delay their trip u ... read more

Comment using your Disqus, Facebook, Google or Twitter login.



Share this article via these popular social media networks
del.icio.usdel.icio.us DiggDigg RedditReddit GoogleGoogle

EPIDEMICS
Mapping Chernobyl fires from space

'Collapsology': Is this the end of civilisation as we know it?

EU haggles over virus rescue deal as WHO warns pandemic far from over

'Poor like us suffer': Nepal quake survivors struggle in crammed homes

EPIDEMICS
Utilizing the impact resistance of the world's hardest concrete for disaster prevention

Sensors woven into a shirt can monitor vital signs

Best homemade mask combines cotton, natural silk, chiffon

Now metal surfaces can be instant bacteria killers

EPIDEMICS
Researchers explore ocean microbes' role in climate effects

How the blob came back

In Navajo Nation, pandemic exposes water crisis and health disparities

What is fluid lensing

EPIDEMICS
Alarms ring as Greenland ice loss causes 40% of 2019 sea level rise

Unusually clear skies drove record loss of Greenland ice in 2019

The Arctic may influence Eurasian extreme weather events in just two to three weeks

Canada deploys Arctic Rangers to Inuit villages amid pandemic

EPIDEMICS
DLR technologies for humanitarian aid

Hunter-gatherers developed culturally distinct cuisines 7,000 years ago

No time to waste to avoid future food shortages

Americans spend more on wasted food than gas, clothes, taxes

EPIDEMICS
Study suggests rainfall triggered 2018 Kilauea erruption

'Fourteen dead' in Yemen's flood-hit Aden

New study takes the pulse of a sleeping supervolcano

At least seven dead in Yemen flash floods

EPIDEMICS
Can sub-Saharan Africa achieve sustainable access to energy for all by 2030?

S.Africa to deploy 73,000 more troops for lockdown

US strike in Somalia kills Shabaab 'senior leader': Pentagon

Madagascar president launches coronavirus 'remedy'

EPIDEMICS
Genomes suggest parallel societies persisted through end of Neolithic

Examining heart extractions in ancient Mesoamerica

Origins of human language pathway in the brain at least 25 million years old

Oldest ever human genetic evidence clarifies dispute over our ancestors









The content herein, unless otherwise known to be public domain, are Copyright 1995-2024 - Space Media Network. All websites are published in Australia and are solely subject to Australian law and governed by Fair Use principals for news reporting and research purposes. AFP, UPI and IANS news wire stories are copyright Agence France-Presse, United Press International and Indo-Asia News Service. ESA news reports are copyright European Space Agency. All NASA sourced material is public domain. Additional copyrights may apply in whole or part to other bona fide parties. All articles labeled "by Staff Writers" include reports supplied to Space Media Network by industry news wires, PR agencies, corporate press officers and the like. Such articles are individually curated and edited by Space Media Network staff on the basis of the report's information value to our industry and professional readership. Advertising does not imply endorsement, agreement or approval of any opinions, statements or information provided by Space Media Network on any Web page published or hosted by Space Media Network. General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR) Statement Our advertisers use various cookies and the like to deliver the best ad banner available at one time. All network advertising suppliers have GDPR policies (Legitimate Interest) that conform with EU regulations for data collection. By using our websites you consent to cookie based advertising. If you do not agree with this then you must stop using the websites from May 25, 2018. Privacy Statement. Additional information can be found here at About Us.