Earth Science News
TRADE WARS
Markets mostly up as traders prepare for expected US rate cut

Markets mostly up as traders prepare for expected US rate cut

by AFP Staff Writers
Hong Kong (AFP) Dec 8, 2025

Most markets rose Monday as investors gear up for an expected US interest rate cut this week, with debate centring on the likelihood the Federal Reserve will continue easing monetary policy further into the new year.

The reduction has been well baked into traders' plans following a string of comments from key decision-makers since last month and data indicating the labour market continues to deteriorate.

However, with the latest round of inflation figures suggesting there is plenty of work to do to get prices under control, and confidence among consumers softening, there are worries the central bank might not have room to keep cutting.

The latest, and delayed, reading on September personal consumption expenditure (PCE) -- the Fed's preferred gauge of inflation -- came in slightly above August, though the core reading was unchanged.

The data did little to move the needle on rate expectations but showed that it remains stubbornly above officials' target.

Economists at Bank of America said that a blackout period for Fed members commenting on policy would end on Thursday and "we'll be on the lookout for what potential dissenters have to say".

With the backlog from the government shutdown being cleared, the BoA team pointed out that there were several key releases between Wednesday's decision and the next meeting in January.

That includes three non-farm payrolls prints, two unemployment reports, two inflation releases and retail sales for October, November and maybe December.

"We look for two or three substantive changes in the (policy board) statement. The description of labour market conditions is likely to omit the language that the unemployment rate 'remained low', to reflect the 32-basis-point uptick over the last three months," they wrote.

"The forward guidance language might also be tweaked to indicate that the bar for additional cuts has risen. This would be a nod to the hawks.

"Markets are looking for a hawkish cut, in the sense that they're pricing under eight basis points of cuts in January and less than a full 25 points in the first three meetings of 2026 (after which Jerome Powell's term as Chair ends)."

All three main indexes on Wall Street ended last week on a positive note, but Asia struggled to match.

Tokyo rose with Shanghai, Seoul and Taipei, while Hong Kong, Sydney, Singapore, Mumbai and Bangkok were in the red. Wellington was flat.

London advanced at the open, but Frankfurt and Paris fell.

There was little major reaction to data showing Chinese exports rose in November at a forecast-beating pace to push the country's trade surplus past $1 trillion for the first time.

The surge came despite a plunge in shipments to the United States last month, with below-par imports highlighting the battle Beijing faces in trying to kickstart consumer activity and economic growth.

Traders are also keeping a wary eye on China-Japan tensions following news that Tokyo summoned Beijing's ambassador after Chinese military aircraft locked radar onto Japanese jets.

Relations have chilled since Japan's Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi suggested last month that Japan would intervene militarily in any Chinese attack on Taiwan.

Tokyo said J-15 jets from China's Liaoning aircraft carrier on Saturday twice locked radar on Japanese aircraft in international waters near Okinawa.

China's navy said Tokyo's claim was "completely inconsistent with the facts" and told Japan to "immediately stop slandering and smearing".

- Key figures at around 0815 GMT -

Tokyo - Nikkei 225: UP 0.2 percent at 50,581.94 (close)

Hong Kong - Hang Seng Index: DOWN 1.2 percent at 25,765.36 (close)

Shanghai - Composite: UP 0.5 percent at 3,924.08 (close)

London - FTSE 100: UP 0.2 percent at 9,688.54

Dollar/yen: DOWN at 155.34 yen from 155.32 yen on Friday

Euro/dollar: UP at $1.1660 from $1.1642

Pound/dollar: DOWN at $1.3326 from $1.3329

Euro/pound: UP at 87.49 pence from 87.35 pence

West Texas Intermediate: UP 0.2 percent at $60.17 per barrel

Brent North Sea Crude: UP 0.2 percent at $63.86 per barrel

New York - Dow: UP 0.2 percent at 47,954.99 (close)

dan/pst

BANK OF AMERICA

INDEX CORP.

Dow

Related Links
Global Trade News

Subscribe Free To Our Daily Newsletters
Tweet

RELATED CONTENT
The following news reports may link to other Space Media Network websites.
TRADE WARS
China's factory activity extends months-long slump
Beijing (AFP) Nov 30, 2025
China's factory activity shrank for an eighth straight month in November, official data showed Sunday, suggesting the world's second-largest economy remains subdued despite a trade truce with the United States. The manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) - a key measure of industrial health - was 49.2 in November, according to the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS). That marked an improvement from 49.0 recorded in October but remained below the 50 mark that separates expansion from con ... read more

TRADE WARS
China launches campaign against fire hazards; as calls for accountability over HK fire silenced

China FM pledges support for Syria in 'achieving peace'

Drenched and displaced: Gazans living in tents face winter downpours

Italy's Meloni defends migrant deal with Albania

TRADE WARS
Meta shares jump on report company slashing VR spending

Exploring Easter Island Quarry Now Possible with Detailed 3D Model

Faraday Effect Reveals Magnetic Role of Light in New Study

In Data Center Alley, AI sows building boom, doubts

TRADE WARS
Iran halts power generation at key dam over drought

Greece puts capital Athens on water emergency footing

Human washing machine goes on sale in Japan

Ocean regions show simultaneous changes in temperature salinity oxygen and acidity

TRADE WARS
Antarctica's Retreating Ice Reveals Nutrient-Rich Peaks Boosting Ocean Carbon Uptake

Ancient RNA recovery reveals gene activity in Ice Age mammoths

URI climate scientist contributes to research illustrating future impacts of Antarctic ice sheet melting

Cosmic dust reveals dynamic shifts in central Arctic sea-ice coverage over the last 30,000 years

TRADE WARS
Beloved sheepskin-sack cheese Bosnia wants to protect

3,000 cattle stuck at sea for a month reach dry land in Libya

NGO links major chocolate brands to Liberia deforestation

Japan's eel delicacy faces global conservation pressure

TRADE WARS
Thailand floods kill 13, leaving people stranded and roads submerged

Northern Australia cleans up after cyclone

Ethiopian volcano erupts after 12,000-year dormancy

Vietnam flooding kills at least 90

TRADE WARS
Kenya launches $1.5 bn road project with Chinese firms

Bitterness, disappointment grip Bissau-Guineans after coup

Gunmen seize 315 in latest Nigerian mass school kidnapping

Pentagon chief calls on Nigeria to stop violence against Christians

TRADE WARS
Turkey basilica emerges from lake, illuminating early Church life

Thailand's last hunter-gatherers seek land rights

Brazil defines boundaries for 10 new Indigenous territories

Understanding the nuances of human-like intelligence

Subscribe Free To Our Daily Newsletters




The content herein, unless otherwise known to be public domain, are Copyright 1995-2024 - Space Media Network. All websites are published in Australia and are solely subject to Australian law and governed by Fair Use principals for news reporting and research purposes. AFP, UPI and IANS news wire stories are copyright Agence France-Presse, United Press International and Indo-Asia News Service. ESA news reports are copyright European Space Agency. All NASA sourced material is public domain. Additional copyrights may apply in whole or part to other bona fide parties. All articles labeled "by Staff Writers" include reports supplied to Space Media Network by industry news wires, PR agencies, corporate press officers and the like. Such articles are individually curated and edited by Space Media Network staff on the basis of the report's information value to our industry and professional readership. Advertising does not imply endorsement, agreement or approval of any opinions, statements or information provided by Space Media Network on any Web page published or hosted by Space Media Network. General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR) Statement Our advertisers use various cookies and the like to deliver the best ad banner available at one time. All network advertising suppliers have GDPR policies (Legitimate Interest) that conform with EU regulations for data collection. By using our websites you consent to cookie based advertising. If you do not agree with this then you must stop using the websites from May 25, 2018. Privacy Statement. Additional information can be found here at About Us.