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POLITICAL ECONOMY
China manufacturing activity shrinks at fastest in 4 years: govt
By Fran WANG
Beijing (AFP) March 1, 2016


China new home prices up in February
Beijing (AFP) March 1, 2016 - China's new home prices increased in February for the seventh straight month, a survey showed Tuesday, positive news for the key sector following a series of stimulus measures aimed at boosting lending.

The gains come as authorities have sought to stabilise China's property market -- a main driver of the world's second-largest economy -- and rolled out new measures intended to encourage migrant workers to buy homes in the cities where they work.

The average price of a new home in China's 100 major cities rose 0.60 percent month-on-month in February to 11,092 yuan ($1,695) per square metre, the China Index Academy (CIA) said in a report, a slight easing from December's 0.74 percent rise.

On a year-on-year basis, prices rose 5.25 percent.

The property market fuelled much of China's spectacular growth in recent decades but hit the doldrums in the past two years, with new buyers priced out despite government borrowing restrictions reining in soaring costs.

The economy grew at its slowest pace in a quarter of a century in 2015, expanding 6.9 percent.

Last month, the government rolled out several new measures aimed at boosting the real estate sector, including cutting minimum down payments to 20 percent for first homes, an all-time low, and reductions in transaction taxes.

The country has a huge inventory of unsold new homes and at a policy conference in December authorities pledged to encourage developers to "moderately cut housing prices" and order local authorities to "revoke obsolete restrictive measures".

At the end of November, China's total unsold commercial and residential real estate stood at 696.37 million square metres, according to the latest available National Bureau of Statistics figures.

CIA, the research unit of real estate website operator Soufun, predicted sales volumes would rise as the new policies took effect across the country.

Worries over a weakening currency and a shaky economy have caused capital to storm out of China, and raised questions among investors about the government's ability to stave off a "hard landing" this year.

Manufacturing activity in China shrank at its fastest rate in four years in February, government data showed Tuesday, a fresh sign of sustained weakness in the world's second-largest economy.

The official Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI), which tracks activity in factories and workshops, fell to 49.0 last month, figures from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) showed.

It was the lowest figure since 49.0 in November 2011, and was below the median forecast of 49.4 in a Bloomberg survey of economists.

A reading above 50 signals expanding activity in the vital sector, while anything below indicates contraction. Investors watch the index closely as the first available official indicator of the country's economic health each month.

It was the seventh consecutive month that the official index showed contraction, which Bloomberg News said was the longest such series on record.

The figures came only hours after the central People's Bank of China cut the amount banks must hold in reserve in the latest attempt to tackle slowing growth.

It trimmed the so-called reserve requirement ratio for financial institutions by 0.50 percentage points, freeing up more funds for them to lend.

China's economy, a vital driver of global expansion, grew 6.9 percent last year, its weakest rate in a quarter of a century.

China's leaders -- who targeted growth of "about seven percent" -- are looking to transform the economy away from the investment and exports of the past to one more oriented towards domestic consumption. But the transition is proving bumpy and the growth slowdown has alarmed investors worldwide.

Tuesday's NBS figures showed market demand continued to fall in February as the new orders sub-index slipped to 48.6 from 49.5 in January, while employment worsened with the jobs indicator falling by 0.2 points to 47.6.

- 'Falling off a cliff' -

The private Caixin Purchasing Managers' Index, which puts a greater emphasis on smaller firms, came in at 48.0 for February, the lowest in five months, the Chinese financial magazine said in a joint statement issued with data compiler Markit.

"The index readings for all key categories including output, new orders and employment signalled that conditions worsened, in line with signs that the economy's road to stability remains bumpy," He Fan, an economist at Caixin Insight Group, said in the statement.

He urged policymakers to adopt "moderate stimulus policies" and give stronger support to the economy to "prevent it from falling off a cliff".

Julian Evans-Pritchard, an economist with research firm Capital Economics, said Tuesday the reserve requirement ratio cut was prompted by the PMI figures, and came despite a spike in loan growth in January, showing "policymakers are now prioritising growth over long-term credit risks".

Last month's PMI may have been distorted by factory suspensions during the Chinese New Year, which fell on February 8 this year.

But ANZ analysts Raymond Yeung and Louis Lam pointed out that the average PMI level for January and February stood at 49.2, below the break-even point.

"Industrial production is likely to remain weak in Q1 2016, and growth could further trend down, especially for overcapacity sectors such as steel, cement and coal," they said in a note.

The government will have to make proactive fiscal moves to support investment, increase deficit spending and boost the money supply if it is to maintain 6.5-7.0 percent growth rate this year, they said.

Chinese stocks responded positively to the reserve requirement ratio cut, with the benchmark Shanghai Composite Index closing up 1.68 percent on Tuesday. The Shenzhen Composite Index, which tracks stocks on China's second exchange, gained 2.32 percent.

China court sentences 24 over $1.5 bn fraud case: state media
Beijing (AFP) March 1, 2016 - A Chinese court has convicted 24 people over a financial scam that defrauded hundreds of thousands of people of 10 billion yuan ($1.5 billion), state media said Tuesday.

Most of the 230,000 victims of Guangdong Bangjia Leasing Co were elderly pensioners, the official Xinhua news agency reported, citing the court in the southern city of Guangdong.

The ringleader of the plot, which operated for 10 years up to 2012, was jailed for life, while the other 23 received sentences ranging from 14 years down to three years suspended.

Illegal fundraising is widespread in China and often involves a large number of investors who have few investment options because of low bank interest rates, an extremely speculative stock market and uncertainties in the property sector.

Last month, authorities arrested 21 people on suspicion of defrauding around 900,000 people of more than 50 billion yuan after an online peer-to-peer lender, Ezubao, turned out to be a giant Ponzi scheme.

Ezubao offered investors annual returns of between nine percent and 14.6 percent on various projects, the official Xinhua news agency reported -- far more than currently offered by Chinese banks' wealth management products.

Last October a payment crisis at state-managed Fanya Metals Exchange sparked protests in Beijing and Shanghai, with police detaining hundreds in the capital.


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