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Outside View: When governments become destructive
by Harlan Ullman
Washington (UPI) Jul 3, 2013

Egypt army chief huddles with opposition leaders
Cairo (AFP) July 03, 2013 - Egypt's armed forces chief met on Wednesday with opposition leader Mohamed ElBaradei and top Sunni Muslim and Coptic Christian leaders, a source close to the military said.

The discussions with General Abdel Fattah al-Sisi focused on the roadmap the military has threatened to impose at 1430 GMT on Wednesday unless Morsi "meets the demands of the people," following four days of mass protests calling for his resignation.

The talks involved Sisi, former UN nuclear watchdog chief ElBaradei, Coptic Patriarch Tawadros II and Sheikh Ahmed al-Tayeb, the grand imam of Al-Azhar, the top Sunni Muslim authority.

Also invited were representatives of the Salafist Al-Nur Party and the Freedom and Justice Party, the political wing of the Muslim Brotherhood, from which the embattled president hails, but they declined the invitation.

Military spokesman Colonel Ahmed Aly said later that the general command of Egypt's armed forces had "held talks with religious, political, national and youth leaders" and that it would issue a statement as soon the meeting is over.

Members of the grassroots Tamarod movement, which mobilised millions of people onto the streets on Sunday to demand Morsi's resignation, were also party to the talks, according to the source who spoke to AFP on condition of anonymity.

The military issued its ultimatum to Morsi on Monday, giving him 48 hours to either find a solution to the crisis or face being imposed with a roadmap that it has drawn up.

July Fourth, marks the United States' Independence Day. The central celebrated document, the Declaration of Independence, that rejected British rule, was the masterpiece of democratic expression written by Thomas Jefferson in 1776.

The most profound lines aren't the more famous "When in the course of human events" or "all men are created equal" but rather appear at the end of the first sentence of the document's second paragraph: "when ... government ... becomes destructive, it is the right of the people to alter or abolish it and institute new government."

Two-hundred, thirty-seven years later, too many governments have become destructive in governing whether through smashing dissent with force or blatant, repressive misuse of the law or, as in the United States, by failing to overcome political gridlock and provide sensible solutions to vital economic and social problems.

Given growing middle classes worldwide, the ubiquity of social media and instant global communications, people are exercising the right if not to alter or abolish government, surely to challenge it.

From violence in Syria and so far less in Egypt, Brazil and Bulgaria, people are increasingly expressing dissatisfaction with government whether through failure to deliver or unacceptable autocratic behavior.

This may not be a global 1848 revolutionary moment. However, it is a period when aspirations for dignity, opportunity and better standards of living can now be immediately translated into political action with perhaps greater impact and certainly with real consequence.

Yet, enacting positive and progressive political change remains elusive once or if power is secured or the protests are accepted by government.

In many parts of the world, remedies to destructive government won't come from free and fair elections. More important is establishing rule of law, pluralism and respect for civil liberties. Revolutions, coups and civil wars vie with peaceful transitions and protests in advancing the needs and grievances of the many discontented with the few in charge.

Even in autocratically or semi-autocratically ruled states, unrest grows. China, for example, has massive numbers of large and unreported protests. While perhaps a majority of Russians support or tolerate Vladimir Putin's rule, protests are waxing.

This global display of disaffection may reflect a tectonic shift in politics and the passing of an international order based on the sovereignty and superiority of the state in place since the Treaty of Westphalia of 1648. Globalization has impelled and caused this interaction largely through the widespread diffusion of all forms of power from economic to social, ideological and moral. Individuals and non-state actors have thus far been most empowered at the expense of states.

If these phenomena turn out to be enduring, destructive or failing governments will become raisons d'etre for profound change, with very unpredictable outcomes both for good and ill.

Syria and Egypt are two immediate examples:

In Syria, the options aren't good or bad. They are horrible. Military intervention isn't a viable alternative and arming the opposition is unlikely to work or to reduce the violence and killing certainly for the short-term.

In Egypt, President Mohamed Morsi is astride several tigers, specifically public animosity over ill-advised decisions in political appointments to failing to make economic progress to the influence of the Muslim Brotherhood.

The reality is that there are no solutions to both crises, a further blockage in understanding the consequences of this collision between the state system and globalization and what if anything can be done to enhance the opportunities and minimize the risks and downsides.

Most of the tools and structures for dealing with what could be a transformative and possibly a revolutionarily different era are creatures from the past century and post World War II and Cold War. The United Nations, World Bank, NATO, International Monetary Fund and even the Group of Eight are part of this archaic infrastructure. The European Union is an offspring.

Organizations, including the Shanghai Cooperative Organization and The Gulf Cooperation Council, are much newer and may have larger roles to play.

The geostrategic facts of this changing world are limits on the uses of military force and the importance of economic leverage. Military force may or may not be necessary in securing outcomes. It is insufficient however in correcting destructive or failed governments.

Emphasis will shift to trade, investment and economic development as the best cures for repairing destructive government by collective improvements in standards of living and fulfilling expectations. But how to use these economic tools at a time of fiscal crises over debt and deficits and sluggish if not declining economies may be THE question to address.

A partial answer rests in two pending international negotiations: the trans-Atlantic and trans-Pacific trade treaties. Neither is a panacea. However, if approved, both will be at least partial cures for repairing destructive and failing governments.

(Harlan Ullman is senior adviser at the Atlantic Council, a Washington policy center, and chairman of the Killowen Group, which advises leaders of government and business.)

(United Press International's "Outside View" commentaries are written by outside contributors who specialize in a variety of important issues. The views expressed do not necessarily reflect those of United Press International. In the interests of creating an open forum, original submissions are invited.)


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Egypt's power crisis: Army's still the final arbiter
Cairo (UPI) Jul 2, 2013
President Mohamed Morsi has rejected an army ultimatum he and his political rivals resolve a violent power struggle or face military intervention by Wednesday. But the bottom line is, 2 1/2 years after longtime dictator Hosni Mubarak was ousted, the country's future still lies in the hands of the army because of growing friction between the Islamists of the Muslim Brotherhood who took ... read more

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