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POLITICAL ECONOMY
Storm brings US East Coast economy to halt
by Staff Writers
Washington (AFP) Oct 29, 2012


Hurricane Sandy damage could hit $20 bn: experts
Washington (AFP) Oct 29, 2012 - Damage from the massive Hurricane Sandy battering the US East Coast could hit as much as $20 billion, disaster estimator Eqecat said Monday.

Eqecat said total damage costs could run from $10 billion to $20 billion, with insured damage of $5-10 billion.

"Sandy is a large storm, impacting 20 percent of the US population," Tom Larsen, senior vice president, said in a statement.

That put the projected damages of Sandy, which has shut down public and business activity on much of the region from North Carolina to Massachusetts, more in line with Hurricane Ike in 2008, and larger than Hurricane Irene of 2011, which caused some $10 billion in damage.

Hurricane Sandy was packing maximum sustained winds of nearly 90 miles (150 kilometers) per hour Monday as it headed for the coast, the National Hurricane Center reported.

Forecasters at the Miami-based NHC said the winds were intensifying as the storm began to turn towards the US mainland.

"Maximum sustained wins have increased to near 90 mph... with higher gusts," the center said, citing data from its Hurricane Hunter aircraft.

Hurricane Sandy froze commerce, shut down stock exchanges for the first time since 9/11 and idled millions of workers on Monday, laying siege to an economy still trying to get out of first gear.

The US East Coast from North Carolina to Massachusetts, where a large portion of the US economy's productive power is concentrated, was brought to a halt by the storm's 90 miles per hour (150 kph) winds and a potentially devastating storm surge.

The financial center of New York was vacated as bankers stayed home and the New York Stock Exchange and the Nasdaq market shut completely, warning that they would only resume trade on Wednesday, "conditions permitting".

It was the first full trading closure since the September 11 attacks closed US equity markets for four days in 2001, and the first full NYSE shutdown due to weather since September 1985, when Hurricane Gloria closed it for a day.

Reports said more than 500,000 people and businesses were without power; oil refineries in the storm's path were shut down and New Jersey nuclear plants said they would shut down if the winds and the storm surge in an adjacent river surpassed key thresholds.

With 20 percent of the country's population under threat, disaster estimator Eqecat forecast that the massive storm could cause up to $20 billion in damages, only half of them insured, as it strikes land around New Jersey and collides with another weather front.

That could hit an economy that has already been struggling to gather pace, with economic growth at 2.0 percent in the third quarter and the government battling to overcome an unemployment rate of 7.8 percent.

The storm also comes as President Barack Obama battles a strong challenge from Republican Mitt Romney, with the November 6 election offering voters a choice between the very different economic plans mapped out by the two.

Four major economic centers -- New York, Washington, Philadelphia and Baltimore -- were effectively closed, with mass transit and flights cut or halted completely, businesses shuttered and office workers forced to work from home.

Banks such as Bank of America and Goldman Sachs -- located in low-lying areas of Manhattan that were ordered evacuated in the face of a flooding threat -- shut their doors and transferred crucial operations to other offices.

Many companies who had expected to announce quarterly earnings put off their release, including Pfizer, McGraw-Hill and Thomson Reuters.

US federal workers were told to stay home a second day Tuesday, raising some concerns that key economic data scheduled for release -- the October jobs reports on Friday -- might be delayed.

With the jobs numbers likely to figure into the battle for the presidency, a Labor Department spokesman said they were working hard to ensure the figures could be issued as planned.

Storm surges were already causing flooding along the coast, with more expected as the hurricane strikes land on the southern New Jersey coast in the early evening Tuesday.

Worries that fuel could be in short supply because of the shutdown of several oil refineries along the coast were downplayed, mainly because consumption was also sharply lower as drivers stayed home.

"Gas availability could be affected more from the threats of flooding," said Stephen Rajczyk of the northern New Jersey branch of the motorists' organization AAA.

But, he added: "Prices should not be impacted by this due to less driving, businesses and schools closed, less economic activity in general."

Some played down the broader impact of the storm on the economy, saying that construction, trading and shopping would resume with a spurt afterward.

"Wealth destruction is bad, and Hurricane Sandy could destroy billions in national wealth," said Jason Schenker of Prestige Economics.

"Nevertheless, while hurricanes and other natural disasters are extremely negative for wealth, they are usually positive for growth."

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POLITICAL ECONOMY
US expects to release jobless data Friday as planned
Washington (AFP) Oct 29, 2012
The US Labor Department said Tuesday it expects to release its most recent unemployment data - a key marker of the economy ahead of the November 6 election - on schedule despite Hurricane Sandy. "The employees at the Bureau of Labor Statistics are working hard to ensure the timely release of employment data on Friday, November 2," spokesman Carl Fillichio told AFP. "It is our intention ... read more


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