Earth Science News
CLIMATE SCIENCE
Global tensions rattle COP30 build-up but 'failure not an option'
Global tensions rattle COP30 build-up but 'failure not an option'
By Julien MIVIELLE, Kelly MACNAMARA
Bonn (AFP) June 27, 2025

This year's UN COP30 summit in Brazil was hotly-anticipated as a pivotal moment for the planet, as the world fast approaches a key global warming threshold.

But the hosts are yet to propose a headline ambition for the marathon November talks, raising concerns they could fall flat.

The build-up has been overshadowed by devastating conflicts on three continents and the US withdrawal from global cooperation on climate, trade and health.

Expectations have dimmed since Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva's pitch three years ago to host climate talks in the Amazon.

A warm-up UN climate event in Germany that concluded on Thursday saw disputes flare over a range of issues, including finance, adding to anxiety about how much headway COP30 can make.

Brazil is a deft climate negotiator, but the "international context has never been so bad", said Claudio Angelo, of the Brazilian organisation Climate Observatory.

Given the stakes, former UN climate chief Patricia Espinosa said Brazil may have to make do with "baby steps".

"One of the main messages that should be coming out of COP30 is the unity of everyone behind multilateralism and international cooperation. Not achieving that means everybody will suffer," she told AFP.

"Failure is not an option in this case."

- 'Survival' -

Previous COPs have been judged on the deals clinched between the nearly 200 nations that haggle over two weeks to advance global climate policy.

Recent summits have produced landmark outcomes, from a global pledge to transition away from fossil fuels, to the creation of a specialised fund to help countries hit by climate disaster.

COP30 CEO Ana Toni said that "most of the big flashy topics" born out of the 2015 Paris Agreement on climate change had been dealt with.

That leaves Brazil with an arguably harder challenge -- trying to ensure what has been agreed is put into practice.

Much of the action is set for the COP30 sidelines or before nations arrive in the Amazonian city of Belem.

National climate plans due before COP30 from all countries -- but most importantly major emitters China, the European Union and India -- will be more consequential than this year's negotiations, experts say.

It is expected this latest round of national commitments will fall well short of containing global warming at 1.5 degrees Celsius, and possibly even 2C, the less ambitious of the Paris accord's climate goals.

"I expect that the COP will need to react to that," said Ana Toni, although what form that reaction would take was "under question".

Uncertainty about how COP30 will help steer nations towards 1.5C has left the Alliance of Small Island States bloc "concerned", said lead negotiator Anne Rasmussen.

"Our survival depends on that," she told AFP.

- 'Threat to humanity' -

How countries will make good on their promise to transition away from fossil fuels may also become a point of contention.

Angelo said he hoped Brazil would champion the idea, included in the country's climate plan, of working towards "schedules" for that transition.

But he likened Brazil's auctioning of oil and gas extraction rights near the mouth of the Amazon river this month -- just as climate negotiators got down to business in Bonn -- to an act of "sabotage".

Another key priority for Brazil is forest protection, but otherwise COP30 leaders have mostly focused on unfinished business from previous meetings, including fleshing out a goal to build resilience to climate impacts.

According to the hosts of last year's hard-fought climate talks, global tensions might not leave room for much else.

"We need to focus more on preserving the legacy that we have established, rather than increasing ambition," said Yalchin Rafiyev, top climate negotiator for COP29 host Azerbaijan.

He fears that trying and failing to do more could risk undermining the whole UN process.

Those close to the climate talks concede they can move frustratingly slowly, but insist the annual negotiations remain crucial.

"I don't think there's any other way to address a threat to humanity as big as this is," Espinosa told AFP.

Related Links
Climate Science News - Modeling, Mitigation Adaptation

Subscribe Free To Our Daily Newsletters
Tweet

RELATED CONTENT
The following news reports may link to other Space Media Network websites.
CLIMATE SCIENCE
Lawsuits against climate action on the rise: report
Paris (AFP) June 25, 2025
Legal efforts to block or unwind action on climate change are rising across the globe, new research showed Wednesday, particularly in the United States which leads the world on anti-green litigation. This trend was expected to intensify as the White House took "an increasingly aggressive stance" against environmental regulations, said the authors of the world's largest analysis of climate litigation. As in previous years, most new cases in 2024 were filed by non-governmental organisations or ind ... read more

CLIMATE SCIENCE
At least 10 dead in Colombia landslide

Storm-plagued Mexico faces the music as warming continues apace

Israel says WHO 'selective silence' deafening after hospital hit in Iranian strike

Israel to expel French nationals on Gaza aid boat by end of week

CLIMATE SCIENCE
New Zealand targets leadership in superconducting space tech with new research alliance

Toxic legacies of mining scar South Africa's Soweto and contaminate Thai rivers from Myanmar operations

Trump pocketed over $57 mn from crypto coin sales

Decarbonizing steel is as tough as steel

CLIMATE SCIENCE
Most of Europe's bathing waters safe for swimming: report

Water levels plummet at drought-hit Iraqi reservoir

Cook Islands PM says China deals do not 'compromise' sovereignty

Value oceans, don't plunder them, French Polynesia leader tells AFP

CLIMATE SCIENCE
Arctic warming spurs growth of carbon-soaking peatlands

How did life survive 'Snowball Earth'? In ponds, study suggests

In Norway's Arctic, meteorologists have a first-row seat to climate change

Permafrost in Swiss Alps at record warmth

CLIMATE SCIENCE
Brazil says free of bird flu, will resume poultry exports

Climate change could cut crop yields up to a quarter

Heat tolerant crops achievable but require long timelines and major investment

Turkmenistan names high-yield wheat after its leaders

CLIMATE SCIENCE
Two dead in Mexico as Hurricane Erick moves on from Mexican coast

Nigeria flood victims mourn missing bodies as death toll stagnates

Brazilian found dead after fall at Indonesia volcano

Cleanup begins as Hurricane Erick moves on from Mexican coast

CLIMATE SCIENCE
34 Niger soldiers killed in attack near Mali border: defence ministry

Russia steps out from shadows in Africa with state paramilitary

Bots pushed anti-China narrative ahead of Ghana mining ban

DR Congo, Rwanda to sign peace accord on June 27

CLIMATE SCIENCE
Light travels through entire human head in breakthrough for optical brain imaging

Human brain reveals hidden action cues AI still fails to grasp

Deforestation in S.Leone national park threatens chimps, humans alike

If people stopped having babies, how long would it be before humans were all gone?

Subscribe Free To Our Daily Newsletters




The content herein, unless otherwise known to be public domain, are Copyright 1995-2024 - Space Media Network. All websites are published in Australia and are solely subject to Australian law and governed by Fair Use principals for news reporting and research purposes. AFP, UPI and IANS news wire stories are copyright Agence France-Presse, United Press International and Indo-Asia News Service. ESA news reports are copyright European Space Agency. All NASA sourced material is public domain. Additional copyrights may apply in whole or part to other bona fide parties. All articles labeled "by Staff Writers" include reports supplied to Space Media Network by industry news wires, PR agencies, corporate press officers and the like. Such articles are individually curated and edited by Space Media Network staff on the basis of the report's information value to our industry and professional readership. Advertising does not imply endorsement, agreement or approval of any opinions, statements or information provided by Space Media Network on any Web page published or hosted by Space Media Network. General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR) Statement Our advertisers use various cookies and the like to deliver the best ad banner available at one time. All network advertising suppliers have GDPR policies (Legitimate Interest) that conform with EU regulations for data collection. By using our websites you consent to cookie based advertising. If you do not agree with this then you must stop using the websites from May 25, 2018. Privacy Statement. Additional information can be found here at About Us.