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Newtown - February 10, 2000 - Continued uncertainty over the merits of mobile satellite communications systems may have a negative impact on the deployment of commercial communications satellites to low-Earth orbit, while the introduction of new, "on-demand" broadband data services is good news for the world�s major satellite manufacturers, according to the annual assessment of the commercial communications satellite market by Forecast International/DMS. "Commercial Communications Satellites -- 2000-2019," provides a comprehensive forecast of what is expected to be a very lucrative segment of the aerospace market over the next two decades. Judging by current satellite backlogs and the fact that the satellite industry, like many aerospace markets, moves along a cyclical path, Forecast International/DMS expects both low-Earth orbiting (LEO) and geosynchronous (GEO) satellite production to remain strong overall in the coming 20 years if high volume LEO projects -- Teledesic and Skybridge -- move to the development stage. Long-term annual output, however, is unlikely to match the relatively high production rates expected in the short term. Forecast International/DMS expects the worldwide satellite industry will produce nearly 775 geosynchronous-orbiting commercial communications spacecraft during the coming two decades. The value of this production, spread among more than a dozen manufacturers, is about $80 billion. Over the next 20 years, manufacturers will produce an additional 1,800 satellites slated for deployment in lower Earth orbits; these spacecraft will be worth about $30.5 billion. "Commercial communications satellite production is expected to remain relatively robust in the coming years, especially for those units earmarked to provide high-capacity broadband-on-demand data services," said Ray Peterson, Forecast International�s Space Systems Analyst. "The jury�s still out, however, on whether satellite constellations designed to provide global mobile communications will successfully compete against terrestrial cellular systems." Forecast International/DMS, headquartered in Newtown, Conn., provides market intelligence services for the aerospace, defense, power and transportation industries, specializing in long-range forecasts.
![]() ![]() Northrop Grumman's Integrated Systems and Aerostructures (ISA) sector has been awarded a $93.7 million contract for engineering, manufacturing and development of the US Navy's Vertical Takeoff and Landing Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (VTUAV) system. |
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